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Apa itu kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi, juga dikenal sebagai kalender ekonomi Forex atau Kalender FX, adalah alat yang memungkinkan para trader membuat analisis fundamental pasar keuangan berdasarkan berita ekonomi. Artinya – Anda akan dapat melihat peristiwa makroekonomi yang menggerakkan pasar dan membuat keputusan trading Forex berdasarkan data.
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Data apa saja yang termasuk dalam kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi mencakup informasi tentang peristiwa ekonomi besar, serta berita politik dan pengaruhnya terhadap pasar Forex. Semua peristiwa keuangan ini digunakan sebagai indikator ekonomi.
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi juga menunjukkan waktu dan tanggal rilis data indikator, mata uang yang diperkirakan akan terpengaruh, dan tingkat dampak setiap indikator. Sebagian besar indikator memiliki nilai numerik, yang dapat dinyatakan sebagai persentase atau nilai mata uang. Mereka mencerminkan dampak yang dimiliki atau yang akan ditimbulkan oleh indikator tertentu, baik positif maupun negatif.
Kalender ekonomi forex kami memiliki tiga kolom untuk menunjukkan nilai indikator ekonomi: Sebelumnya, Prakiraan, dan Aktual:
- Data sebelumnya menunjukkan nilai indikator pada periode sebelumnya (biasanya, satu bulan atau satu tahun sebelumnya);
- Prakiraan menunjukkan perkiraan nilai indikator berdasarkan survei terhadap 20-240 ekonom;
- Aktual adalah nilai yang dipublikasikan oleh sumber resmi seperti badan statistik nasional atau pusat analitik.
Kami juga memberikan informasi tambahan tentang indikator spesifik dan grafik yang menunjukkan perubahan nilai menurut bulan atau tahun – klik indikator yang Anda minati untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut.
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Bagaimana cara membaca kalender ekonomi?
Terkadang jumlah peristiwa ekonomi yang terjadi saat ini bisa sangat banyak. Jadi, pertama-tama, pastikan untuk menggunakan filter untuk melihat indikator paling relevan untuk trading Forex Anda. Misalnya, Anda dapat memilih mata uang yang Anda rencanakan untuk diperdagangkan atau dampak indikatornya.
Di bagian atas kalender trading Forex kami, pilih zona waktu yang paling cocok.
Gunakan nilai numerik indikator untuk menavigasi perubahan pasar. Inilah sebabnya mengapa perkiraan dan angka rilis aktual sangat penting. Bandingkan angkanya: jika nilai Aktualnya lebih besar dibandingkan prakiraan, ini bagus untuk mata uang dan kemungkinan akan naik harganya; jika nilai Aktualnya lebih rendah dari Prakiraan, berarti akan turun.
Anda dapat mengaplikasikan logika yang serupa untuk melihat nilai Sebelumnya dan Prakiraan bahkan sebelum data dirilis, tapi berhati-hatilah – prakiraan selalu hanya menunjukkan data awal dan angka sebenarnya mungkin berbeda secara drastis.
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Ada indikator ekonomi apa saja yang tersedia?
Indikator ekonomi adalah peristiwa ekonomi utama yang digunakan untuk menafsirkan peluang investasi dalam trading Forex. Biasanya peristiwa ekonomi makro yang mempengaruhi mata uang dan harga saham.
Indikatornya bisa 'tmemimpin/leading' (memprediksi perubahan yang akan datang), 'bertepatan/coincident' (menunjukkan keadaan ekonomi saat ini di area tertentu) dan 'tertinggal/lagging' (mengkonfirmasi pola dan tren).
Indikator ekonomi top:
- Kurva Imbal Hasil AS – menunjukkan rasio antara tagihan perbendaharaan (Treasury bills) jangka pendek dan obligasi perbendaharaan (Treasury bonds) jangka panjang. Indikator tersebut berhasil memprediksi delapan resesi besar dalam beberapa tahun terakhir.
- PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto) – merupakan salah satu metrik paling penting dari kesehatan ekonomi. Ini adalah indikator yang tertinggal, jadi ini menunjukkan apa yang telah terjadi, tetapi bisa menjadi penanda bagus dari resesi yang akan datang.
- Tingkat Pengangguran – ini adalah persentase orang yang mencari pekerjaan dan akan menunjukkan seberapa sehat ketenagakerjaan dan juga perekonomiannya secara umum.
- Suku Bunga – adalah indikator tertinggal lainnya yang menunjukkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini dapat mempengaruhi PDB dan inflasi, jadi waspadalah terhadap dua hal tersebut.
Ini hanyalah beberapa dari sekian indikator penting. Pastikan untuk mengikuti rencana trading harian kami dari para analis FBS untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut tentang berita trading terkini dan bagaimana hal itu akan mempengaruhi trading Forex Anda.
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Bagaimana trading saat rilis berita?
Peristiwa keuangan biasanya dijadwalkan sebelumnya. Biasanya ada prediksi menjelang rilis (kolom Prakiraan pada kalender berita Forex kami) tentang bagaimana mereka akan mempengaruhi pasar. Beberapa trader memilih untuk membuka posisi tergantung pada ekspektasi mereka terhadap laporan indikator ekonomi: jika mereka mengharapkan indikator tertentu untuk menaikkan mata uang, mereka akan membelinya dan begitu pula sebaliknya. Sedangkan sebagian trader lainnya tidak menyukai pergerakan harga yang cepat yang mungkin terjadi saat indikator dirilis, jadi mereka menghindari penggunaan kalender FX dan trading berdasarkan berita.
Ada banyak strategi trading berita: Anda harus menggunakan strategi yang menurut Anda paling sesuai dengan gaya trading Anda. FBS, selain menyediakan semua layanan yang diperlukan untuk trading, juga memiliki semua informasi penting untuk kebutuhan setiap trader. Periksa seksi berita kami untuk mengetahui kemungkinan pergerakan pasar.
Bahkan jika Anda bukan tipe orang yang trading berdasarkan berita, Anda tetap harus memeriksa kalender ekonomi trading atau membaca tentang peristiwa ekonomi saat ini secara teratur karena kemungkinan besar akan mempengaruhi volatilitas pasar.
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Apakah kalender ekonomi diperbarui secara real-time?
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi utama kami diperbarui secara otomatis saat laporan keluar. FBS hadir menyediakan pembaruan kalender ekonomi secara tepat waktu, tetapi kami tidak dapat dimintai pertanggungjawaban atas penundaan apa pun karena arus peristiwa berita trading yang terkadang tidak moderat.
Kalender Ekonomi
Daftar berita ekonomi yang penting
Waktu
Dampak
Mata uang
Peristiwa
Sebelumnya
Ramalan
Sebenarnya
Apr 23, 2024
07:30
EUR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
{previous}
41.9
{forecast}
42.8
{actual}
The HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 420 manufacturers. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.
08:00
EUR
HCOB Services PMI Flash
{previous}
51.5
{forecast}
51.8
{actual}
The HCOB Eurozone Services PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to a panel of service providers in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Ireland. The sectors covered include consumer (excluding retail), transport, information, communication, finance, insurance, real estate and business services. The headline figure is the Services Business Activity Index. This is a diffusion index calculated from a question that asks for changes in the volume of business activity compared with one month previously. The Services Business Activity Index is comparable to the Manufacturing Output Index. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.
08:00
EUR
HCOB Composite PMI Flash
{previous}
50.3
{forecast}
50.8
{actual}
The HCOB Eurozone Composite Output Index, which is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index, is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to survey panels of manufacturers in Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, Ireland and Greece, and of service providers in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Ireland, totaling around 5,000 private sector companies. The index tracks variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories and prices; and varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.
08:00
EUR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
{previous}
46.1
{forecast}
46.5
{actual}
The HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to survey panels of manufacturers in Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, Ireland and Greece, totaling around 3,000 private sector companies. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.
08:00
GBP
BoE Haskel Speech
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).
08:15
EUR
ECB Fernandez-Bollo Speech
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
{previous}
50.3
{forecast}
50.3
{actual}
Markit/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 600 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI Flash
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
The S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is based on data collected from companies in the transport and communication sector, financial intermediation, business services, personal services, computing and IT and hotels and restaurants. The index tracks variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates that the services sector is generally expanding; below 50 indicates that it is generally declining.
.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI Flash
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
The UK Composite PMI is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Flash
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
Markit/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 600 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash
{previous}
52.8
{forecast}
{actual}
The UK Composite PMI is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
{previous}
53.1
{forecast}
53
{actual}
The S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is based on data collected from companies in the transport and communication sector, financial intermediation, business services, personal services, computing and IT and hotels and restaurants. The index tracks variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates that the services sector is generally expanding; below 50 indicates that it is generally declining.
.
09:30
EUR
2-Year Schatz Auction
{previous}
2.84%
{forecast}
{actual}
11:15
GBP
BoE Pill Speech
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).
11:30
EUR
Bundesbank Nagel Speech
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
Germany is a member of the European Union which has adopted the euro. Germany's benchmark interest rate is set by the European Central Bank. The official designation for the rate is main refinancing operation.
12:00
USD
Building Permits MoM Final
{previous}
2.3%
{forecast}
-4.3%
{actual}
Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.
12:00
USD
Building Permits Final
{previous}
1.523M
{forecast}
1.458M
{actual}
Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.
12:55
USD
Redbook YoY
{previous}
4.9%
{forecast}
{actual}
The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.
13:45
USD
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash
{previous}
52.1
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United States, the S&P Global Composite PMI Output Index, which is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index, tracks business trends across both manufacturing and service sectors. The index is based on data collected from a representative panel of over 800 companies and follows variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in business activity while below 50 points to contraction.
13:45
USD
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
{previous}
51.7
{forecast}
52
{actual}
The S&P Global US Services PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to a panel of around 400 service sector companies. The sectors covered include consumer (excluding retail), transport, information, communication, finance, insurance, real estate and business services. The index tracks variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices; and varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease. The headline figure is the Services Business Activity Index, which is a diffusion index calculated from a question that asks for changes in the volume of business activity compared with one month previously. The Services Business Activity Index is comparable to the Manufacturing Output Index.
